God, how sweet those three weeks were when Tottenham Hotspur Football Club wasn't ruining everything.
The Lilywhites were back with a vengeance at the weekend, this time with their third different manager of a terrible 2025/26 season, but it wasn't merely a flat Roberto De Zerbi debut that encouraged the idea of the 2019 Champions League finalists and 2025 Europa League winners succumbing to the second tier.
Plenty of supporters have borderline accepted a cataclysmic fate. I've long believed, despite our historically awful run, that we'd somehow find a way to preserve our Premier League status.
Now, though, I think Spurs are done. The number-crunchers agree, too.
Supercomputer predicts Premier League relegation fight
Pos. | Team | Current Points | Expected Points | Relegation Chances |
|---|---|---|---|---|
15. | Leeds | 36 | 44.37 | 1.61% |
16. | Nottingham Forest | 33 | 40.85 | 10.11% |
17. | West Ham | 32 | 38.34 | 38.78% |
18. | Tottenham | 30 | 37.11 | 49.5% |
19. | Burnley | 20 | 24.96 | 100% |
20. | Wolves | 17 | 23.82 | 100% |
It's worth noting that when Thomas Frank was sacked by the club in February, Tottenham's chances of going down were remote, no more than a few percent.
However, after Igor Tudor's winless 44-day reign and De Zerbi's debut defeat, Spurs have slipped into the bottom three for the first time since the opening weekend of the 2015/16 season.
According to Opta's simulations, Spurs are the most likely team to join Wolves and Burnley in the Championship next season. After a bad, bad weekend, our relegation chances have been boosted to 49.5%.
West Ham had long been the favourite to finish 18th and spend next season (at least) in the second tier, but Nuno Espírito Santo has found a way to embolden the Hammers and render them more than merely competitive. They battered an improving Wolves 4-0 on Friday night to usurp Spurs and ensure the Lilywhites kicked off at the Stadium of Light in the relegation zone.
Admittedly, I thought Leeds United were our best bet of staying in the division. Daniel Farke's side were excellent over Christmas, but haven't won a league game since February and have struggled mightily in front of goal as of late.
Few expected them to claim their first league victory at Old Trafford in 45 years on Monday night, but that's exactly what they did. Leeds are now six points better off than us, with their chances of going down reduced to 1.61%. Home games against the bottom two are on the horizon.
West Ham's run-in is the toughest, while Nottingham Forest haven't pulled away just yet. However, it's absolutely imperative that we beat De Zerbi's former employers, the in-form Brighton & Hove Albion next week, otherwise we could be cut adrift.
Next week, the Hammers visit Crystal Palace off the back of a trip to Florence, while Forest are at home to a Burnley team that's won one league game since October.
It's not looking good...
Add us as a preferred source on Google